This is epicycles, my friend. Many places did everything wrong with great variation in outcomes. If you introduce a "well, maybe one person set off everything" exception, we are not explaining anything by import numbers. I'll end this here: you have no usable number for imports.
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
No, there is no usable data to use to examine the claim "number of imports determine severity/lack of outbreak" except through circular reasoning and assuming the answer--with a super-spreader exception to fill holes. I think I explained it as best I can.
End of conversation
-
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
The point isn't that it's "confidence imports don't matter"; it's that your evidence imports have 'perfect fit' is that places without big explosions must not have had many imports. But how do you know there weren't 1000s of imports that just didn't go off because of [factor x]?
End of conversation
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
We had exactly this for previous pandemics; they're tough puzzles but people stubbornly deny the puzzle while it's happening.