Except for places with 100% testing, we only estimate/trace initial imports if there is further noticeable spread. If not, we dont even know of them. It’s a version of selecting on the dependent variable or survivorship bias. Basic stuff for causal analysis. So yes, epicycles.
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Yeah and sorry but this is a deeply uninformed thread about India and you’re really overreaching
@Comparativist. India never had effective quarantine of overseas arrivals and that source only stopped when they stopped all intl. flights and that’s where it still stands. -
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