The virus is so 'well-calibrated' that explaining such differences seems to involve any and all factors: age, culture, weather, stress, immune responses, luck... It's like an infinite series approximation where the first two terms are zero.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1258549915745087488 …
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In this crisis a lot of (completely justified) blame goes to incompetent leaders. But as a computational modeler I also feel embarrassed about the way models and theories have been presented and interpreted publicly. We need better epistemological hygeine too. :P
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It's very early and it's possible there are tons of things we don't understand and uncertainty implies keeping up precautions, so I'm all for that. But to me it looks like there is something going on we do not (yet) understand. I want someone to tell me I'm wrong and explain it!
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