The virus is so 'well-calibrated' that explaining such differences seems to involve any and all factors: age, culture, weather, stress, immune responses, luck... It's like an infinite series approximation where the first two terms are zero.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1258549915745087488 …
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It's like when you read a paper using fancy stats and get the sinking feeling that that are fitting noise.
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I've been sitting on that exact sinking feeling for weeks now. I get the outbreaks that occurred and can create very convincing stories for each missing case but in the aggregate, they feel like just-so stories tbh.
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