We have clear evidence of transmission risks indoors etc. so lockdowns make sense. Not arguing against either. But I've yet to hear a convincing explanation of how Japan, India etc. have (thankfully! hopefully forever!) avoided a disaster comparable in size to NYC or Lombardy.
-
-
Show this thread
-
Japan is definitely not social-distancing in any strict sense of the word, and while surely there are undercounts, can you really hide a carnage on the scale of Lombardy/NYC? Don't think so. Plus elderly. And India obviously not "stronger immune systems."https://twitter.com/twidark1/status/1258551726187008001 …
Show this thread -
India is. Japan is not. But India is super dense and high air pollution, and you'd expect home transmission. India skews young; Japan older. Both are very very dense. I don't understand why these two (thankfully!) are not anywhere near NYC/Lombardy levels.https://twitter.com/dylanista0524/status/1258552735743406080 …
Show this thread -
Yes, BCG gets floated and there are trials. Wouldn't NYC be a natural place to test BCG as it is a natural experiment? Many immigrants have had BCG vaccines as children in other countries and then came to NYC. Someone with access to demographics can test. https://twitter.com/bianelkhatib/status/1258557817545543680 …
This Tweet is unavailable.Show this thread -
Yes you'd expect something much worse in India/Japan OR you have to assume both countries are hiding enormous number of deaths and overrun hospitals. I don't buy that. You cannot hide Lombardy/NYC levels. See Quito. Sometimes you don't need a weatherman. https://twitter.com/hijodeprada/status/1258558803898970119 …
This Tweet is unavailable.Show this thread -
I picked those two as examples of contrast but also... Maybe no one answer but it’s a question.https://twitter.com/nairikha/status/1258565145053196289 …
Show this thread -
I agree and we will eventually know more, though I also don't think any country can hide *huge* spikes. Hospitals overrun, thousands dead per day... These are usually visible contemporaneously without needing to be teased out with statistics. So why not?https://twitter.com/ikitorp/status/1258750317350567936 …
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
School closures in late Feb? Pneumonia vaccinations for the elderly? Undercounting COVID deaths?
End of conversation
-
-
-
A sense of collective responsibility?
-
You might as well say the inscrutable Oriental mind
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.