Subtweet to media, especially science writers. When WHO says "there is no evidence", they don't mean something is false. There is no evidence either way. It could just as well be true. Also, "correlation doesn't imply causation" is wrong and stupid, and doesn't debunk anything.
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We've had so many ridiculous rounds, and it is still going on. Sure, there are correlations that are misleading due to confounding, but of course correlation IMPLIES possible causation because they do tend to go together. Correlation hints at causation and says we should check!
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted
Masks, antibodies, and yes, still early to tell for sure but weather/seasonality and BCG... If anything the default assumption should be some immunity with antibodies given prior evidence and yet, I so so many panicked "vaccine not possible" comments. https://twitter.com/dylanhmorris/status/1257335215493611520 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Shinobi
Because while we caution people to check for confounding variables—as one should—causative dynamics are of course often correlated with consequences they cause! It's like the only stats people learned is the warning but we didn't teach basic of causation.https://twitter.com/shinobi42/status/1257334933728768005 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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Replying to @dylanhmorris
I have seen so much "correlation does not imply causation" or some version as if it debunked something lately I am ready to breath fire. Masks! Correlation does not imply causation! Weather! Correlation! BCG! Correlation! No real discussion of uncertainty, what we need, etc.
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I agree on all counts. Warnings were important, but people who don't know the basics are riding only the warnings. Terrible!
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