The virus has disrupted: - K-12 - bars - cities - retail - sports - hotels - airlines - offices - colleges - subways - concerts - medicine - Hollywood - immigration - conferences - supply chains - meat packing - movie theaters - aircraft carriers Do you think it all snaps back?
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Balaji Srinivasan Retweeted Neeraj K. Agrawal
Many of the foundational assumptions and/or economics of these sectors have changed forever. Pandemic insurance will be expensive. Digital alternatives will rise. And we may be just at the start. In other words, I like
@NeerajKA but disagree with this: https://twitter.com/neerajka/status/1254546852445372421?s=21 …https://twitter.com/NeerajKA/status/1254546852445372421 …Balaji Srinivasan added,
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Economics of all this will change, for sure. But let's say we get a solid vaccine and are unconstrained. (Otherwise, who knows?). Definite possibility that there will a massive outpouring of demand for all the freewheeling, crowded YOLO. Existential events do that. Roaring 20s.
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I saw people discussing how parents will now realize that they can teach their kids more via homeschooling, and won't want glorified babysitting that is school. Other option: people will embrace the "glorified babysitting" with every ounce of their being and never complain again.
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Let's linger on this for a sec. The key is that you don't need 100% of parents to change their mind. Once even say 30% of parents categorize K-12 as "glorified babysitting", you can factor it into [a] distance learning for advanced math/science/etc via iPad and [b] childcare.
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It just isn't the way children work, though. Homeschooling requires intensive planning and extra work to get socialization, and for many parents, part of the implicit goal is not just to control learning but to control socialization. Children need cohort/village/social learning.
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The iPad advanced math had just as been available a year ago. Maybe a few kids/parents are now discovering this style works for them. Alternatively, I can see parents realizing what a loss lack of school is for small humans. Real work of growing up is socialization, not skills.
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FWIW: Nothing I've seen frm public schooled peers indicates it provides socialization in a better way. A lot of the community you need for socialization via homeschooling might already be in place, depending on geo (town of 80k, homeschool group had 100 participating families).
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How much of the work of homeschooling in those families was done by women? Did they also work outside the home? Homeschooling is a job.
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Uh, totally agreed, it *is* a 22-30 hr job and the work disproportionately falls on women. Wasn't making anything counter to that point, just saying from personal experience and some studies, the "socialization" argument against HS is incomplete.
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Well, sure, if someone does the job that school used to do.
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really challenging topic. thanks for bringing it up. my kids still too young for school but future concerning. we're in japan but not japanese so very worried about the socialization element of it- not sure how expats will be navigating this.
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