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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 20 Apr 2020

      Significant paper on the cost of misinformation. Basically, one standard deviation more viewership of Sean Hannity (denied seriousness of COVID) versus Tucker Carlson (took the pandemic seriously) is associated with in 20% more deaths at the county-level. https://bfi.uchicago.edu/wp-content/uploads/BFI_WP_202044.pdf …pic.twitter.com/lvHijnhOA5

      85 replies 1,609 retweets 2,980 likes
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    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 20 Apr 2020

      It's a good paper; they took pains to control for many alternative explanations and this really looks like a causal effect of misinformation to deaths. (Stuff your correlation isn't causation one-liners: it's a stupid line and researchers aren't idiots and have taken stats 101).

      10 replies 49 retweets 487 likes
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    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 20 Apr 2020

      Also, please note: information and misinformation changes behavior. Varying degrees but it does. Misinformation on Facebook changes behavior just like misinformation on TV. Too often people deny this because they can hide behind lack of good ways to measure it. Here, we have one.

      7 replies 69 retweets 416 likes
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    4. Greg Ferenstein‏Verified account @ferenstein 20 Apr 2020
      Replying to @zeynep

      This paper is a massive stretch. Arguing that a single TV anchor can influence behavior is radically outside anything ive ever seen in the entirely of political science. Im not convinced sunset is reasonable instrument to determine direction of causality either

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Greg Ferenstein‏Verified account @ferenstein 20 Apr 2020
      Replying to @ferenstein @zeynep

      2. i question whether the author has really sat with folks who watch fox. The TV isnt plugged into their heads. Most barely watch it. they skip channels, leave the room, play with their phones, tune in from the kitchen. this is why ethnography matters when making massive claims

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Greg Ferenstein‏Verified account @ferenstein 20 Apr 2020
      Replying to @ferenstein @zeynep

      3. at the very least, id want to see what else correlates. My guess is that if they added other channels, newspaper circulation, you’d start to see other things that rise to the same coefficient with sunset. This is...not a balanced exploration, especially considering the claim

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Greg Ferenstein‏Verified account @ferenstein 20 Apr 2020
      Replying to @ferenstein @zeynep

      4. The sad thing is, here’s what happens: people on the left who want to believe it will rage share it. The right will do the same, but to discredit academics/economists/experts broadly as having an agenda, further driving them policymakers.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 20 Apr 2020
      Replying to @ferenstein

      I’d agree on needing more research. But with this, a small behavior difference could easily cause much bigger outcome difference, hence plausible to measure. The influence doesn’t have to be huge.

      8:09 PM - 20 Apr 2020
      • 3 Likes
      • Judi Dixon Tom Yemm Greg Ferenstein
      0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes

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