This is a really good post about probabilistic reasoning, trying to predict a calamity like the one we are living through, and the news media's failure to sound the right alarm. https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/14/a-failure-but-not-of-prediction/ … And it explains why you should be folllowing @zeynep. (Via @mathewi)
Sorry, you don't seem to understand the most basic thing: his example wasn't trying to do a random survey to assess some underlying population parameter. So can't correct something when't it's too off-base to be wrong. But carry on!
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no, you are wrong. read back and understand why. you lose all credibility after that and that's why I stopped reading. but please, continue mansplaining basic science methodology to me :D
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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