This is a really good post about probabilistic reasoning, trying to predict a calamity like the one we are living through, and the news media's failure to sound the right alarm. https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/14/a-failure-but-not-of-prediction/ … And it explains why you should be folllowing @zeynep. (Via @mathewi)
-
-
Sorry but it is. It's at the bottom of scientific testing. At random has even been more blurred with web testing and you couldn't possibly show me anything that goes beyond R 0.5. It simply doesn't exist. Show me something, show me the questions, show me your sample selection 1/2
-
show me your inter-item validity and reliability, show me the response population and their characteristics, prove to me why your results are better than the usual below r 0.5 2/2
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.