That looks very much like a study that should not be done by economists, and the numbers they are proposing are wild. There are a lot of spherical cows being assumed here, and just the kind of thing journalists probably shouldn't amplify before some real experts weigh in.
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there’s a lot to be said of our desire for precision vs. accuracy in understanding what is happening right now w/ COVID. We find solace in precise figures of case counts despite the meaninglessness of exactitude in this “Fog of War” moment...
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Had a long discussion earlier this AM on this particular topic...https://twitter.com/bjbohman/status/1249374854475911168?s=21 …
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