That looks very much like a study that should not be done by economists, and the numbers they are proposing are wild. There are a lot of spherical cows being assumed here, and just the kind of thing journalists probably shouldn't amplify before some real experts weigh in.
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A Turkey expert tweeted it and it caught my eye. I thought a Goettingen University study was legit. Some people have also told me to stop retweeting you, as you're a sociologist, but I think different fields of expertise are important. I'll gladly delete if it's illegitimate.
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Replying to @Nick_Ashdown @oemoral
In personal capacity, I'm pretty happy with my own track record and others can make up their own mind, but the numbers there are really wild. Not saying they have to be wrong, but really really wild so would definitely want some epidemiologists weighing in.
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Because author was economist and the assumptions were so broad and "spherical cow" type... I've been closely cooperating with virology/epidemiology people and remain skeptical of papers that ignore the basic tenets of the field.
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