A Turkey expert tweeted it and it caught my eye. I thought a Goettingen University study was legit. Some people have also told me to stop retweeting you, as you're a sociologist, but I think different fields of expertise are important. I'll gladly delete if it's illegitimate.
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In personal capacity, I'm pretty happy with my own track record and others can make up their own mind, but the numbers there are really wild. Not saying they have to be wrong, but really really wild so would definitely want some epidemiologists weighing in.
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Literally anyone who can do the four basic math operations in Excel is an expert nowadays.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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This magnitude of infections generally reconciles with a report from Imperial College on 30 March on magnitude of infections in european countries ranging from 2 - 11%https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-13-europe-npi-impact/ …
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I find it hard to believe that Turkey has almost three times the underlying rate of infection as Italy, and almost the highest percentage in the world. Turkey has a pretty good health system in some ways so if that's actually the case, it is amazingly good news.
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