Once again, this is not only without evidence, decades of literature and research exactly on this ("risk compensation" theories for safety devices, seat-belts, helmets etc.) finds the opposite at the population level. It's a clever sounding argument without empirical support. https://twitter.com/nalepis/status/1248281035726520322 …
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This is a myth. As far as I can tell, people are misunderstanding one study that showed that surgical masks were better for health care workers than cloth masks (duh). I'd blame "Mr. Pete" except so many articles by journalists also made that mistake.https://twitter.com/Mr_Pete/status/1248340796673327104 …
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Pretty much any armed forces basically.
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Even though a seatbelt may end up killing you...
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Funny twist on this (and still one-off not a counter to your point) - study that showed drivers passed cyclists more closely if they were wearing a helmet. So cyclist didn't choose to up risk, but other actor did. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/09/060911102200.htm …
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In 1979 Ireland introduced mandatory seatbelt wearing for front seat passengers. In that year the wearing rate increased from 25% to 50%. The pattern recorded in the official road death figures for 1979 was a 4% increase in car occupant deaths.
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I think there’s evidence for this with football helmets, but that example (if true) doesn’t generalize.
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There are plenty of real life examples. I’ve read of it being called “target risk” - the level of risk that people expose themselves to adjusts for safety/mitigation measures. Bernstein’s “Against the gods” is full of examples from memory.
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Yes, and the literature says that second-order effects for which you can find individual examples is dwarfed by the of effect of the safety intervention. That's why we have seat-belts and helmet laws. (Not going to comment on Berstein/stock market type things. Context is safety),
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