It's almost as if people's definition of "the internet hive mind" is just like, whichever small fraction of the hive mind turned out to be right on any given question.https://twitter.com/BenDiFrancesco/status/1245899808902197253 …
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Replying to @tomgara @TheStalwart
Ok, to put a finer point on it: tech folks and macro traders, and specifically NOT orgs like
@BuzzFeed that gave us headlines such as: "Don't worry about corona virus, worry about the flu".1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
right but which tech folks and which macro traders? there's definitely a big subset of both who have been claiming this is all being overblown / the damage of shutdowns is worse than the virus, etc
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There are people like Musk, sure. But as an industry, tech was the first to shut down its big conferences, SF/Seattle tech companies started working-at-home earlier, tech pretty ahead of the curve on workplace rules, too. I mean, yes, still Musk. But overall, they were on time.
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I follow both media and tech because I focus on critical analysis of tech and the difference in tone/understanding was pretty striking. Plus, tech familiarity with China probably helped. When China shuts down Wuhan, we all should have "constructively panicked." It was a shout.
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Don't disagree with any of this!
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The part that I think people are missing is that the first year of the Arab Spring felt like this. "Internet hive mind" was where it was happening. Till it wasn't. Not the same thing, but this too will evolve, for sure.
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The Arab spring comparison I'd make here is the people who said, within days of protests breaking out, that this will end with ruin, war, jihadism and Islamist takeovers. They turned out to be right! But I find it hard to be mad that everyone else didn't immediately go there.
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I'm sure the way this has rolled out globally and especially in the US has been more deterministic and predictable than what happened in Egypt or Syria in 2011-12. But I also think there were good grounds to be cautious about worst case scenario mongering in late January.
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Now you're going to the other extreme. There *was* a serious institutional failure and it's worth conceding as such. Those who used 'caution' got it wrong, and not in a justifiable manner. And we aren't in the worst case scenario, at all.
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Yeah, it's not the worst possible pandemic we could get. Novel coronavirus ffs. It's tragic and terrible, but it's not within an order of magnitude of the worst possibilites. There will be a lot of sorrow and loss but we will get through this one. No reason to think that's it.
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