Please read this excellent, clear-eyed @zeynep piece on how we should think about epidemiological models (and interpretations of those models).https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-models-arent-supposed-be-right/609271/ …
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I grew up at NJ seashore—honky tonk boardwalks before casinos replaced summer fun with faux glitz. Built a few (economic) models in my day. Always used this simple analogy to explain value to naysayers: On the boardwalk, there used to be shooting galleries with beat up bb guns 1/
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The guns simple sights—small notch on the stock & a small "fin" on the end of muzzle/barrel (sorry, I know nothing about guns other than what I learned on the boardwalk). When you picked one up to shoot, and you lined up the target by centering the fin in the "v" of the notch 2/
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