This piece, from @zeynep, is very smart:
Here’s the tricky part: When an epidemiological model is believed and acted on, it can look like it was false. These models are not snapshots of the future."
Read the whole thing:
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-models-arent-supposed-be-right/609271/ …
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Slight quibble: models are built to inform decisions. They should never be building blocks of belief. To paraphrase George Box, “All models lie; some models are useful.”
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