This, from @HarvardHBS, is the best analysis I've seen on what happened in Italy.https://hbr.org/2020/03/lessons-from-italys-response-to-coronavirus …
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Many lessons here. Most notable to me: 1. PARTIAL SOLUTIONS DON'T WORK. Italy locked down only high risk areas ("red zones"), but it only facilitated spread as people fled lockdown areas. "Italy followed the spread rather than prevented it." Exactly what the US is doing.
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2. DEPLOY THE FULL PLAYBOOK. Lombardy (10M) and Veneto (5M) both closed shops and did social distancing. Veneto added testing, active contact tracing, good controls to protect health care & other essential workers, and home care for most cases. Lombardy had 5K deaths; Veneto 287.
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3. ACCURATE, TIMELY DATA IS ESSENTIAL. Decision-makers have been hindered by lack of standardized data on the trajectory of spread, hospitalizations, deaths at local and regional levels.
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Replying to @Atul_Gawande
Also universal mask wearing. The one intervention with biggest bang for the buck, the one thing not being done here.
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Replying to @zeynep @Atul_Gawande
People are more likely to touch their face when using a mask and infect themselves. General public isn’t advised to use them (in Canada anyways). Hand washing is really the key here from what I’ve read and heard.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci added,
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