I don’t understand when people say the #coronavirus may be seasonal and ease up as the weather heats up. It’s hot already in Louisiana and Florida, but cases there are surging there right now. Help me understand…
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We have data on temps humidity etc. in virus outbreak history, right? Certainly.
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Literally the only evidence in support is the same type of dubious geographic observations as "but Florida and Louisiana" in counterargument
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This is based on the fact that the common cold is also a corona virus, and it tends to die off in warm weather. It is not based on a study of this specific virus, afaik. Also, it was never reported as fact, only as conjecture.
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A multiple regression of 100 Chinese cities suggests there is strong seasonality
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can you elaborate on that please? how do we have data on other cities in China?
End of conversation
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There is also the matter the virus spread is phase lagged with respect to the present so the weather about two weeks ago is the relevant consideration. Also hospital clusters might be agnostic to this potential seasonal dependence.
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