That a kind of complacency with a different script was *also* spread by what people would consider the science and reality-based crowd is just true. Does it mean no good journalism was done, that government failed less, that there were no good examples. Lol, of course not.
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Kind of disappointing, I like a good argument but flimsy straw-man deny us that.
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As for this, NYC wasn't a random seeding contingency. NYC is big travel hub, dense city. You know when *people* of Hong Kong locked themselves down, despite government foot-dragging? Early January. Five deaths so far.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1243403098858508295 …
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NYC was destined to have one of the the biggest fires. "Earlier" then whom? Those without fires? I write for traditional media and by normal beat is tech criticism. Look, West Coast also had early outbreaks and is doing better. Tech-folk responded better.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1243401839883644934 …
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As for failures, it's clear enough so we can say Federal failure and local NYC gov't failure is massive. I can't and won't assign an exact number to role of media because that's not measurable, unless you want to be faux precise, like putting extra digits to your odds ratios.
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Agree. Hard sell. I tried to talk about it in January and increasingly desperately in February. That's my frustration. The Tsunami—a rare event but not a black swan—was coming and many who could help warn instead told us to chill and worry about sunburn.https://twitter.com/_Almaqah/status/1243564513976295426 …
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Yes, this is a terrible failure. It also didn't happen in a vacuum! Federal government failed. But the NYC mayoral failure is a different script than admin failure, and tracks a common pundit message that was not at all rare in February.https://twitter.com/madlaw1071/status/1243568167827517443 …
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I don't mind disagreements! They make arguments sharper. But come on. The idea that I claim one type of failure of pundit messaging in more liberal media means this is their fault "as much as" the government? Face value ridiculous.https://twitter.com/edbott/status/1243561129130856448 …
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Not reckoning with 2008 and Iraq is partly why we have a Trump presidency. Trump in November will be "this was terrible luck, who knew, we all got blindsided." It's early. Who knows what will happen. But it's important to understand why "we were all blindsided" may resonate.
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Also, back to tech criticism. I used it, but I hate the quote-tweet. It makes it difficult to have substantial arguments but easy to create straw-man for dunking for own audience. I normally reply, and tried with Nate but I thought he's caricaturing beyond reason so I'll expose.
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And yes, it was personally painful to spend late January and February trying to explain that this wasn't some low-risk anymore; that we were going to get hit for sure, and badly, and be told panic was worse, flu etc. One of my favorite cities in the world is being decimated.
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Finally, if anyone is here for the Twitter fight. Please hop over to my we must all mask up thread (my NYT op-ed about it at the top). NYC will have to mask-up to get through this. Maybe local hospitals can lead, because everything else is failing.
https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1243267203161624576 …Show this thread -
Just adding this here. An honest reflection from a journalist, helps balance Nate’s straw man representation of my criticism that’s sadly too stupid to argue with. (I like substantial discussions, not caricatures.
)https://twitter.com/kelseytuoc/status/1243301678301888512 …Show this thread
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