Hong Kong had every reason to have an exponential epidemic (lots of travel from Wuhan/China) and yet has dramatically slowed the spread. Two deaths total. Probably: with memory of SARS, they responded quickly with closures, universal mask wearing, social distancing and hygiene. https://twitter.com/lwcalex/status/1235091542219448321 …
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Yet, here we are at the cusp of perhaps significant spread in the US and there aren't enough masks even for health care workers, testing is still not there, firefighters are responding to cases with no protective gear and getting infected, and we're trailing in all measures. Ugh.
7 replies 58 retweets 229 likesShow this thread -
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Byron Wan
Yes, it's important to note that most of the swift actions (social isolation; universal mask wearing; hygiene) was the people of Hong Kong leaping into action—the HK government dragged its foot. (Hongkongers had experience with China's coverup of SARS.)https://twitter.com/Byron_Wan/status/1235489561624510466 …
zeynep tufekci added,
Byron Wan @Byron_WanReplying to @zeynepThis is the direct consequence of a deep distrust against the Chinese government (thanks to the SARS experience 17 years ago) and the Hong Kong government among the general population. You could see the same coverups. Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me!
3 replies 64 retweets 163 likesShow this thread -
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Dominik Steiger
It's worse. We don't have enough masks even for health-care workers let alone regular people. Scandal, really. (It takes two seconds to figure out why "wear a mask only if you are sick" doesn't work and won't work as advice, but that's what we get told.).https://twitter.com/dominiksteiger/status/1235571127239561217 …
zeynep tufekci added,
4 replies 19 retweets 93 likesShow this thread -
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Mayor Eric Adams
While everyone is looking at Seattle, NYC has two cases (both now in intensive care) with no travel or known link to another case.https://twitter.com/NYCMayor/status/1235559817135058948 …
zeynep tufekci added,
Mayor Eric AdamsVerified account @NYCMayorThere are two new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in New York City. One new patient is a man in his 40s, and one new patient is a woman in her 80s. Neither patient has a connection to travel nor any of the other local individuals diagnosed with COVID-19.Show this thread2 replies 12 retweets 50 likesShow this thread -
US has 11 known COVID-19 deaths and basically no real containment measures. I fetched the data for COVID-19 deaths in Hubei, China. Here's the chart, starting with 17 deaths on Jan 22 and with total lock-down as of January 20. We may well get a milder trajectory... or we may not.pic.twitter.com/pchI8aAibV
2 replies 20 retweets 36 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @zeynep
I heard the definitions China was using for a confirmed COVID-19 case were tightened several times, would we expect that to impact how this graph is iterpreted?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
It's a graph of known deaths from COVID-19, not known cases.
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