Hong Kong had every reason to have an exponential epidemic (lots of travel from Wuhan/China) and yet has dramatically slowed the spread. Two deaths total. Probably: with memory of SARS, they responded quickly with closures, universal mask wearing, social distancing and hygiene. https://twitter.com/lwcalex/status/1235091542219448321 …
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Taiwan is another country with significant success in containing this coronavirus—a single death and only 44 known cases despite extensive travel from Wuhan/China. Here, too, experience with SARS and China's coverups helped—they leaped to action quickly. https://healthpolicy.fsi.stanford.edu/news/how-taiwan-used-big-data-transparency-central-command-protect-its-people-coronavirus …pic.twitter.com/hAXDTnRdZS
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Having 11 deaths to only 89 known local cases is actually terrible news, because it means that there is already a widespread outbreak that we don't see because we aren't testing—we are only noticing the deaths, and probably missing those too. This is what happened in Iran.pic.twitter.com/rXuxEEzWcn
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Having so few known cases to many deaths is a terrible sign. If this were all there was, it would imply a case fatality ratio of 5%—higher than any place. In fact, we simply don't know where the cases are and how many and we are likely missing deaths, too.https://twitter.com/ByMikeBaker/status/1236383802420686848 …
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Yep, as doctors have noted, heart attacks, etc. don't stop in the middle of a pandemic.
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