Yep, as soon as we start testing US numbers are going to spike. It's pretty clear that there has long been widespread community transmission in the United States. Again, the risk we face is that hospitals will get slammed and we will run out of ICU beds.https://twitter.com/focused4USA/status/1234132657421766658 …
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Health professionals really need to stop telling people not to buy masks because they won't know how to wear them correctly. Can't think of a message more precisely designed to encourage hoarding. Folks, don't hoard them because there is a severe mask shortage for health workers.
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Reminder that there is a lot of historical and current evidence that social distancing works. Stay home as much as you can; if you are an employer allow people to work from home as much as possible. It's how we can protect people in high-risk categories.https://twitter.com/joshmich/status/1235906489921007616 …
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Confirmed cases two weeks ago: Italy 62, Hong Kong 69, Taiwan 26, Iran 28. Hong Kong and Taiwan acted early with social distancing, hygiene, closures and near universal mask wearing. Their numbers hardly budged. Italy and Iran each have ~6000 cases and are locking down millions.pic.twitter.com/F63zPIHQnI
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What's happening now in Italy is that they have run out of hospital capacity. That will mean death rates will go up, not just from the coronavirus but from all other illnesses as well. We look about two weeks behind this point in big population centers.https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1237507100064047104 …
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All the comparisons with the flu have been terribly damaging and they did not just come from Trump supporters. One Washington Post headline mocked the alarm with "Get a grippe, America." Journalists compared contagion rates as if that mattered much. https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1232352734990520331 …?
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To people asking for an update to my February article: besides your own social-distancing and hygiene, one great thing to do is to help elderly or vulnerable folks stay home. If you can shop for them, do their chores, drop food... Next, help everyone else stay home or stay away.
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End of conversation
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