Yep, as soon as we start testing US numbers are going to spike. It's pretty clear that there has long been widespread community transmission in the United States. Again, the risk we face is that hospitals will get slammed and we will run out of ICU beds.https://twitter.com/focused4USA/status/1234132657421766658 …
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Reminder that US cases will spike soon because we are finally starting to test not because of anything new. We are finally measuring what's been happening: community-transmission. The advice is the same: hand hygiene, don't touch your face, limit going out and mass gatherings.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
I logged onto Facebook for the first time in days and groups are full of people asking about travel. It’s unconscionable that there is no public messaging. The World Health Organization recommends people over 60 or with other conditions to avoid crowds.https://twitter.com/drtedros/status/1233695157888987137 …
zeynep tufekci added,
Tedros Adhanom GhebreyesusVerified account @DrTedrosIf you are 60+, or have an underlying condition like cardiovascular disease, a respiratory condition or diabetes, you have a higher risk of developing severe#COVID19. Try to avoid crowded areas, or places where you might interact with people who are sick.#coronavirusShow this thread1 reply 31 retweets 90 likesShow this thread -
As Washington State announces four new coronavirus deaths, they’re also asking people to avoid emergency rooms. That’s where a lot of Americans get primary healthcare so this is going to be a mees. But this is also why people should try to stay home—to preserve hospital capacity.pic.twitter.com/7ShR8oZLFK
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Avi Zenilman
Yes! Offering to shop for your elderly relatives or neighbors is a great thing to do right now. It may need to be something to organize everywhere. This coronavirus is mild for young and healthy people but strikingly dangerous for the elderly or ill folks.https://twitter.com/avizenilman/status/1234585552294498304 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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Reminder that Chinese authorities knew there was human-to-human transmission in December when there were very few cases. They could have spared the whole world. Instead they punished whistleblower doctors & organized mass outdoor events till late January. https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/02/coronavirus-and-blindness-authoritarianism/606922/ …pic.twitter.com/fQV7rZTORN
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Faced with the outbreak because of their own corruption and authoritarianism, Chinese authorities then imposed a draconian quarantine. Through massive suffering, hundreds of millions of Chinese people gifted us time to prepare. Then we blew that threw incompetence and corruption.
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Objective descriptions of what happened and what works are okay but nobody should be praising the Chinese government for the very pandemic they unleashed on the world. (They even knew dangers of wet/wildlife markets and let them be). Chinese medical workers though: true heroes.
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This would have been contained in Dec/Jan had Chinese authorities prioritized the health of their own citizens and the world rather than covering up the facts and punishing the medical workers who tried to warn us—some of them died from the virus. Leaders now want praise. Nope.
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Replying to @zeynep
Are you saying that you would have been in favor (then, not now) of Chinese authorities creating a forced quarantine of an entire province before New Years? (Because based on your other work/advocacy, I find that hard to imagine)
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In December, when there was very very few cases and all linked to the seafood market, they could have aggressively contact-traced and quarantined a much, much muh smaller number along with aggressive testing afterwards. Instead, they quarantined 700 million+ but too late.
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Replying to @zeynep
Look, I’m not at all defending the CCP’s response: it’s the worst case outcome of a climate of secrecy and a system of perverse political incentives (local+provincial). But should protocol be to quarantine before a full genome is sequences and transmission vectors are understood?
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Replying to @justMathana @zeynep
That's above my pay grade, but the Wuhan government continued to host a 40000 family communal banquet knowing full well it was close to 'ground zero' of the epidemic. https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/coronavirus-wuhan-neighbourhood-sees-infections-after-40000-families-gather-for …
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