Another thread on why flu comparisons are so misguided. Seasonal flu/pneumonia has a 0.014% death rate in the US, and still is a huge burden. SARS had a 10% fatality rate. A significant number of COVID-19 patients need hospitalization to survive. Where do you put millions?https://twitter.com/tony_zy/status/1229070516285329408 …
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Latest large-scale retrospective shows fatality rates of about 3% in overwhelmed Hubei and 0.04% in rest of China. This, with speed of infection held at bay with draconian measures *and* intensive medical care outside of Hubei. Mentioning the flu is not a serious response.
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There are many misplaced, disproportional panics for extremely rare events (stranger abduction). And then something real with a profound downside tail risk is staring at us, we go to "should we really panic"? We should do everything reasonable to avoid that tail risk. It's huge.
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On the gallows humor side, I guess that'd be one way to end the "Medicare for all" debate. Given EMTALA, which requires anyone showing up at an emergency room to be "stabilized and treated", and given the COVID-19 age profile, this might de facto lower Medicare age to 50 or so.
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It's a sad and grim assessment...
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