Following impeachment, President Trump hits his highest popularity rating (Gallup poll). President Clinton, too, had a spike in his popularity after impeachment. The outlier to that pattern is Nixon whose impeachment was long, long time ago in a drastically different setting.https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/1224715109584506880 …
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Fair enough. Let's say he didn't lose any ground from the impeachment proceedings. Since he was obviously going to be acquitted, the only threat to him was that: losing ground. He did not. His campaign manager should be happy with that. It's over.https://twitter.com/anandmehtanyc/status/1225427530565459969 …
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That's only true if you put all of your eggs into one poll. He's as popular today as he was on Dec 3 if you look at the polling average. That was a decent polling number for him but 43.7% is still really low for incumbents. And no, it doesn't beat Obama. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo …pic.twitter.com/hxABsW5wyA
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I don't think a few-week impeachment process will have much of an effect at all either way. That said, the impeachment should have been far more robust. An open-and-shut case like this was going to be in the rear-view mirror in a matter of days. The spike will be short-lived.
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How is he "more likely to be re-elected"? Millions have seen the Senate not take witnesses, have heard Bolton and Lamar Alexander say the accusations are true. While devout party members may be mesmerized, there can be millions of Independents & GOP rank-n-file bothered by this.
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I don't think the needle has moved. There has been a lot o things that should have bothered all those people. The question is—did this add anything *plus* did this add anything beyond the potential sympathy impeachment generates? Both movements may well be small, thus same place.
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