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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 6 Feb 2020

    zeynep tufekci Retweeted Josh Jordan

    Following impeachment, President Trump hits his highest popularity rating (Gallup poll). President Clinton, too, had a spike in his popularity after impeachment. The outlier to that pattern is Nixon whose impeachment was long, long time ago in a drastically different setting.https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/1224715109584506880 …

    zeynep tufekci added,

    Josh JordanVerified account @NumbersMuncher
    Gallup - Presidential job approval at this point in the first term: Carter 58 Reagan 55 HW Bush 47 Clinton 52 W Bush 49 Obama 45 Trump 49 Trump is now ahead of Obama, tied with W and only 3 behind Clinton with 9 months to go until the election. And all three won reelection.
    6:23 AM - 6 Feb 2020
    • 8 Retweets
    • 35 Likes
    • Eggers tux0r StubbornLights Jacob Kanipe-Illig Lynne Libitina Two Pixie & Maria Read Kraus Gary
    5 replies 8 retweets 35 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 6 Feb 2020

        There the "the right thing to do" approach and the question of whether it would inevitably help him given he was obviously going to be acquitted. Was it the way it was handled? Choice of topic? That's an abstract discussion. He is now more likely to be re-elected. That's reality.

        4 replies 3 retweets 16 likes
        Show this thread
      3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 6 Feb 2020

        zeynep tufekci Retweeted Anand Mehta

        Fair enough. Let's say he didn't lose any ground from the impeachment proceedings. Since he was obviously going to be acquitted, the only threat to him was that: losing ground. He did not. His campaign manager should be happy with that. It's over.https://twitter.com/anandmehtanyc/status/1225427530565459969 …

        zeynep tufekci added,

        Anand Mehta @anandsequitur
        Replying to @zeynep
        That's only true if you put all of your eggs into one poll. He's as popular today as he was on Dec 3 if you look at the polling average. That was a decent polling number for him but 43.7% is still really low for incumbents. And no, it doesn't beat Obama. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo … pic.twitter.com/hxABsW5wyA
        6 replies 3 retweets 3 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. b-boy bouiebaisse‏Verified account @jbouie 6 Feb 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        Also this is the definition of cherry-picking. The most recent polls show Trump roughly where he has always been.

        1 reply 2 retweets 22 likes
      3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 6 Feb 2020
        Replying to @jbouie

        Perhaps. But at a minimum, he didn't lose any ground from impeachment. I would put his chances of re-election higher now because it's over. He went through it without damage. Since he was obviously going to be acquitted, the only threat to him was losing ground. Didn't happen.

        8 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. jeffry house‏ @jeffryhouse 6 Feb 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        Trumps rating is down to 44% again. Gallup was an outlier.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Stefan Fricke  🌏 🇪🇺 🐧 --3x geimpft--‏ @Stefan_F 6 Feb 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        Carter had the highest approval and lost reelection though.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Ted Perlmutter‏ @tedperl 6 Feb 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        That 49 is very likely an outlier. If you look at 538, you will see a couple points of movement, but numbers much closer to 45.https://53eig.ht/39hjx7k 

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