The @NEJM paper finds mean incubation to be 5.2 days, 95% under 12 days. Also human-to-human transmission seems to be through *close* contact. We know that most deaths are elderly or people with significant comorbidities. With an urgent enormous effort, this could be contained.
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Yes all this is preliminary, and there is still under-diagnosis going on due to test availability etc. And these %@^$#!s mutate. That said, for all of us, washing hands often and not touching one's face and self-isolating if feverish are the sensible steps—as in any flu season.
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Finally,
#nCoV2019 will get to places with much poorer healthcare systems. Once again, global health-care equity is an existential need, besides being a basic human right. There is no way to get through this without providing resources for the whole world. It's 2020. One planet.Show this thread -
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I believe we will have a better picture when the tests are more available and faster. It seems to be the suspected (pending) cases are increasing much faster than the “confirmed”. I can’t believe how can we draw conclusions under these circumstances.Still would take any good news
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Please share these excellent and easy to follow recommendations by
@Laurie_Garrett, a science journalist who specializes in reporting on epidemics.#CoronaOutbreak#CoronavirusOutbreak#CoronaVirus#WuhanCoronavirus#WuhanVirushttps://outline.com/XaPz3fThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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"Estimate of R0 was limited to the period up to January 4."
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Entirely consistent with other estimates.
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