Not separable. The DNC hack was very much supported by massive operation on social media. It was almost all you'd see in some corners, mostly as screenshots with false claims that went viral. Plus, yep, mass media got played. Hence my call for looking at ecology, not percentages.
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Also, theoratically measurable (with full dataset, ahem) is memes they originated -> spread on social media. I think what we are looking for is: did they shift the narrative? I realize we don't have full data plus a thousand person team, but theoratically possible to measure.
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Hey Nate, how about this: let's measure how much resources Russia put in this effort. If it is above a certain threshold, we'll deduce that their efforts shifted the narrative and thus the election because if that wasn't the case they wouldn't have done it.
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OK, it's pretty telling IMO that you've rejected an **actually** testable (in practice, not just in theory) hypothesis for ones that are either impossible or extremely cumbersome to test.
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Is it possible that it's not a good one? Why would people actively respond *more* to trolling that nevertheless impacted them? How would you ever measure impacts of abusive behavior online? We know: people tend to go silent. There really was a reason we moved beyond Skinner.
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