Your argument is lacking in any sort of systematic evidence, at all. If you think impression counts are an imperfect measure -- and surely they are -- then come up with something better.
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Replying to @NateSilver538
The mere count and placement of DNC hack stories, alone, would be a pretty strong metric. It dominated media plus displaced other stuff. As with anything complex, it's a complex story but just that one is their operation—though obviously "the patient" had very weak immune system.
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Replying to @zeynep
You're -- deliberately? -- confusing two things. The DNC hack could well have been important. There's no evidence that Russian shitposts on Instagram mattered much, though.
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Replying to @NateSilver538
Not separable. The DNC hack was very much supported by massive operation on social media. It was almost all you'd see in some corners, mostly as screenshots with false claims that went viral. Plus, yep, mass media got played. Hence my call for looking at ecology, not percentages.
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Replying to @zeynep
I put "you have to look at the whole ecology" into my Google Academese translator and it came out as "I don't have any evidence".
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Replying to @NateSilver538
Okay! Keep looking at percent of tweets as a good metric for impact—and doctors should weigh viruses/bacteria as percent of bodymass to decide on impact and not look at how it impacts body/immune system (aka the whole ecology) . Good luck, to you and Dr. Google. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Replying to @zeynep @NateSilver538
I'm open to these claims, but they ultimately need to generate testable hypotheses or we're not doing science. We have testable hypotheses about viruses and the immune system!
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Right now claims about low-volume social media operations having big systemic effects lack credible supporting evidence or even specific claims that could be tested.
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That is true in general, in that this was a close election and there were probably some number of ceteris paribus factors (Comey letter, etc). On the other hand, the factor that highlights a persistent future problem to solve (online disinformation ops) deserves proper analysis.
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