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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 9 Nov 2018

    zeynep tufekci Retweeted Sol Messing

    Forecasts influenced Obama administration on responding to Russian interference; Facebook/Google/Twitter handling fake news and misinformation... Thread with research examples on voter and campaign behavior. Forecasting is an effect-inducing activity.https://twitter.com/SolomonMg/status/984803343339081728 …

    zeynep tufekci added,

    Sol Messing @SolomonMg
    Thread: 1/ Election predictions have consequences—for voters AND officials. With @Comey’s book we see that confidence in a @HillaryClinton victory may have influenced decision to reveal FBI investigation into emails in final days of campaign. H/T @ylelkes, @gdebenedetti pic.twitter.com/ren9l3uAxG
    Show this thread
    7:33 PM - 9 Nov 2018
    • 74 Retweets
    • 146 Likes
    • carbonic blockchain Flameyyy Rasmus Hyltegård the dishes will never be done Camilla van Gerbig 😷 3.5% 😷 #FBPPR #FBPE Aranjedeath wut Torquemada's Kat 😺🚨🔥🌎🔥 jn
    6 replies 74 retweets 146 likes
      1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 9 Nov 2018

        zeynep tufekci Retweeted pam white  🙏 🐙 📚 🐬 🗽 💙 🇺🇸 🏝 🐕  🦀  🌊 🕊

        Definitely influenced press behavior in many ways. Hard to know the counterfactual but plausible.https://twitter.com/phwji/status/1061100783947706368 …

        zeynep tufekci added,

        pam white  🙏 🐙 📚 🐬 🗽 💙 🇺🇸 🏝 🐕  🦀  🌊 🕊 @Phwji
        Replying to @zeynep
        I think it affected how most in the press treated her, as well. They scrutinized her and humored him. She lost, in large part, because everyone thought she would win.
        0 replies 6 retweets 28 likes
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      2. pam white  🙏 🐙 📚 🐬 🗽 💙 🇺🇸 🏝 🐕  🦀  🌊 🕊‏ @Phwji 9 Nov 2018
        Replying to @zeynep

        I think it affected how most in the press treated her, as well. They scrutinized her and humored him. She lost, in large part, because everyone thought she would win.

        1 reply 3 retweets 12 likes
      3. Bessonitsa Homer‏ @Bessonitsa_ 9 Nov 2018
        Replying to @Phwji @zeynep

        I think maybe the midterms are telling a different story.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Bessonitsa Homer‏ @Bessonitsa_ 9 Nov 2018
        Replying to @zeynep @thegrugq

        I’ve never understood why the Obama admin didn’t go public with the Facebook/Google/Twitter manipulation. Didn’t need R buy-in for that. Might have raised skepticism.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jackson Kernion‏ @JacksonKernion 10 Nov 2018
        Replying to @zeynep

        Honest Q: what's the alternative? Be less rigorous in horse race coverage? Not have horse race coverage? @NateSilver538 is fairly clear on this: there will be horse race coverage, and it's the media's job to not misrepresent the data available. No other alternative.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Sol Messing‏ @SolomonMg 10 Nov 2018
        Replying to @zeynep

        Sol Messing Retweeted Arpit Gupta

        Seemed to have moved both prediction markets and the bond markets in 2018https://twitter.com/arpitrage/status/1060256090389168128?s=21 …

        Sol Messing added,

        Arpit Gupta @arpitrage
        When markets react to fake news 538's faulty election model moved prediction markets night of coverage Also moved bond yields Good news: markets process information Bad news: even if it's @NateSilver538's bad data https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2018/11/07/1541617447000/Debt-markets-let-us-know-what-they-think-about-Republicans-last-night/ … pic.twitter.com/aI2rzc6vNX
        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Sol Messing‏ @SolomonMg 10 Nov 2018
        Replying to @zeynep

        Sol Messing Retweeted Joshua Benton

        Another effect we saw among participants—confusing probability of winning and vote share—also seems to have occurred in the mediahttps://twitter.com/jbenton/status/1059898288139354112?s=21 …

        Sol Messing added,

        Joshua BentonVerified account @jbenton
        A correction made just for @SolomonMg https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/issa-calls-race-early … pic.twitter.com/uKDa1qQpgK
        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 10 Nov 2018
        Replying to @SolomonMg

        I think that even for people who understood this wasn't vote share, there is a way in which 80-90% has a visceral reaction—especially since this generation grew up on polls with vote-shares. It *feels* like a landslide. The visual presentation was especially overwhelming, imo.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies

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