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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 5 Nov 2018

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Drew Linzer

      The probability models that heralded President Clinton say hello. (Not saying they’re right or wrong—just that these are probability models.)https://twitter.com/DrewLinzer/status/1059543303870275584 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Drew LinzerVerified account @DrewLinzer
      House forecast roundup, Democratic Party chances of winning Time Magazine: 97% http://time.com/5412732/midterm-election-prediction-simulation/ … 0ptimus/DDHQ: 95% https://0ptimus.decisiondeskhq.com/  CBS/YouGov: ~90% https://today.yougov.com/topics/politics/articles-reports/2018/11/04/cbs-newsyougov-house-model-democrats-225-republica … FiveThirtyEight: 88% https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/ …
      Show this thread
      8 replies 15 retweets 71 likes
      Show this thread
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 6 Nov 2018

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Nate Silver

      Within two hours of polls closing, the 538 probability model went from 6 in 7 Democrats take the House to about equal odds for both. It will keep oscillating. I wish there was less focus on forecasting in all media, more on the politics & policies.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1059841220430548992 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538
      Our final forecasts are up (!). Nothing really changed. The Deluxe version of our House model gives Democrats a 6 in 7 chance of winning the House and the GOP a 1 in 7 chance. Median outcome = D+36 seats. The 80 percentile range runs from D+20 to D+54. https://53eig.ht/2OI4FEE  pic.twitter.com/MB04CZZCmv
      Show this thread
      5:34 PM - 6 Nov 2018
      • 25 Retweets
      • 122 Likes
      • Rick Reynolds Benjamin emma tangoren BobMiller Ifeoma Ozoma Mehmet Tolgay petra’s dépanneur Matthew FL Rahul Horé
      6 replies 25 retweets 122 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Kevin Riggle‏ @kevinriggle 6 Nov 2018
          Replying to @zeynep

          Kevin Riggle Retweeted Jay Rosen

          Did you see this thread https://twitter.com/jayrosen_nyu/status/1059959384413999104 … ? Fascinating stuff

          Kevin Riggle added,

          Jay RosenVerified account @jayrosen_nyu
          This is my A Block for tonight's show. Thread. https://twitter.com/jayrosen_nyu/status/1059864337928671233 …
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Kevin Riggle‏ @kevinriggle 6 Nov 2018
          Replying to @kevinriggle @zeynep

          Kevin Riggle Retweeted Jay Rosen

          Better linkhttps://twitter.com/jayrosen_nyu/status/1059864337928671233 …

          Kevin Riggle added,

          Jay RosenVerified account @jayrosen_nyu
          'Campaign coverage: the road not taken.' There was a path the American press could have walked, but did not. This alternative way was illuminated as far back as 1992. Our political journalists declined it. And here we are. This thread is that story. 1/
          Show this thread
          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Brian Wolfe‏ @wolfeb99 6 Nov 2018
          Replying to @zeynep

          Brian Wolfe Retweeted Jay Rosen

          https://twitter.com/jayrosen_nyu/status/1059864337928671233?s=21 …

          Brian Wolfe added,

          Jay RosenVerified account @jayrosen_nyu
          'Campaign coverage: the road not taken.' There was a path the American press could have walked, but did not. This alternative way was illuminated as far back as 1992. Our political journalists declined it. And here we are. This thread is that story. 1/
          Show this thread
          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Michael Henry‏ @heymjh 6 Nov 2018
          Replying to @zeynep

          Amen

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. George Mokray‏ @gmokery 6 Nov 2018
          Replying to @zeynep

          Horse races & personalities are what media covers these days Policies & politics are drowned in gossip magazine tattle tales Problem solving is never part of the public discourse by design as the problems are profit centers for the powers that be.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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