If I had a magic-wand, I'd do away with all the horse-race coverage. All of it. So much damage from the amount of oxygen it sucks and how it shapes the coverage. Besides, it doesn't work well anymore. The models aren't capturing shifts and the polls are too non-random.¯\_(ツ)_/¯https://twitter.com/jonathanweisman/status/1054721068869541888 …
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Take that 89.5%. The faux-precision killed me. It's a fuzzy, fuzzy number—as people figured out. IIRC the model was built on mere 14 cases? Also, the ERRORS ARE CORRELATED. (Noted only in the footnotes WHICH I READ. But of course people just see pictures).https://twitter.com/ezralevin/status/1054418925037981696 …
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