I call this the Beto effect. Hard to believe but many Dem candidates are underfunded because the party is.. well, it's the party that lost 2016. But a few splashy races give the opposite impression—the way holding the presidency 2008-2016 hid the electoral collapse of the party.https://twitter.com/Pinboard/status/1049495854590189569 …
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Having studied movements/opposition in many countries, one frequent theme in losing efforts is the ratio of attention to factors not-under-their-control vs. factors under their control! This may get people upset with me but both Dem leaders & "resistance" often share this trait.
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Where is the effort to balance funding so that obviously super-safe Dem seats aren't raising millions while first-time candidates building infrastructure (for the future, if not this election) have real money? Don't see it. It's like 2016 didn't happen. 2008-2016 didn't happen.
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Take voter ID laws. Where's the nationwide mobilization to get an ID for everyone? Send college students to help poor folks navigate the bureaucracy, drive them to DMV etc. "ID summer!" Nope, just many articles on how unfair it is. Fine but not enough for winning political power.
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Replying to @zeynep
There are multiple nationwide organizations working on voter engagement and mobilization including the ACLU and NAACP. Individual campaigns also do this work. One thing to consider is that registration and identification rules vary from state to state.
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Replying to @jbouie
Of course there's some groups.. As always. Do you think it is a high-level effort, proportional to the stakes. Of course, the rules vary from state-to-state. After all the commotion, you'd think the country would have been blanketed with a "get-an-ID" mobilization.
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Replying to @zeynep
I think the United States is an extremely large country and few things short of a presidential campaign have ever been effective at this kind of mobilization at that scale. I think local and regional efforts at mobilization and engagement tend to be most efficacious.
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I also think broad conclusions about 2008-2016 should probably account for the fact to significant electoral erosion is normal for parties that hold the White House.
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Replying to @jbouie
Local and regional efforts are underfunded! You could have a national mobilitation to make sure they exist/are funded. That's why I am calling it the Beto effect. A few high-profile races are funded but so many first-time, high-energy candidates are struggling. Hidden story.
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Also, some erosion is normal but.. It was drastic. And then it had a feedback cycle after 2010 because of gerrymandering and other issues. To get out of here, you'd expect a massive mobilization. I only see a lot of grassroots energy, but not national strategic action tbh.pic.twitter.com/KTx8E6eGVp
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I can attest to this. I’m currently managing a Democratic state senate campaign in Ohio. Lots of grassroots energy in response to the last decade, but little to no funding or mobilization by the ODP itself. We’re on our own out here in a mostly rural, mostly apolotical region.
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