Chapel Hill/Carrboro is juuuuust on the border of Florence bands—don't even have rain where I am. Maybe later. All thoughts with coastal NC/SC communities who are experiencing brutal flooding and the first responders. Also, we really should stop using the Saffir-Simpson scale.
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In SE North Carolina, there is massive rain, occasionally record-breaking storm-surge, ongoing river flooding in river basins dramatically worsened due to massive rain more upstream. "Maximum wind at center" is not a good indicator. Choice of indicators always have big effects.
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Also, USPS just delivered. And Chapel Hill Public Library is keeping regular hours today.
The conditions here are still okay but almost everything is shut down. They are not. #Florencepic.twitter.com/EeasseZmvd
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Also people are looking at the "cone" which says something about the centre, and thinking the entire storm will miss them.
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Don’t be fooled by the lower category! What happens with water, not wind, is most critical in hurricanes and renders the largest impacts. Think surge along the coast as well as coastal and inland flooding. See
@NHC_Atlantic- the best, most trusted source for hurricane info
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Also, repeated references to it being once in a generation/100 years storm, when there have been several in the last few years and likely to be several more in the next few
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It's well illustrated for Florence in the chart (linked), There was a point where it was verging on cat 4 (S-S), but only cat 2 (integrated hurricane kinetic energy, factoring in size). Now it's cat 2 (S-S) but mid-cat 3 (HKE). http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=mpswtcke&storm_identifier=AL062018&starting_image=2018AL06_MPSWTCKE_201809111800.GIF …
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This is some well earned introspection. Time for science to step up its game and make a deep state sushi roll!
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Seeing some rain and wind in Wake County. when you think of the amount of water this storm will produce I think you are correct, we need a different scale of measurement than just wind speed. Something that takes duration of storm and flooding into consideration.
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