My guess on this is that like almost everyone else in the universe, they assumed Trump wouldn’t winhttps://twitter.com/conor64/status/1032039182607081472 …
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Replying to @Justin_Vogt @tomgara
Belief that he'd lose is the answer to 99 percent of the questions about behavior of <name-your-actor>.
Still waiting to be written: "How newspapers/sites switching from reporting polls to badly explained probability models—which people do not understand—changed history."
4:11 PM - 21 Aug 2018
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