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zedshaw's profile
Zed A. Shaw, Painter
Zed A. Shaw, Painter
Zed A. Shaw, Painter
@zedshaw

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Zed A. Shaw, Painter

@zedshaw

Personal artistic explorations in pigment. Follow @lzsthw is for http://learncodethehardway.com  programming books and code stuff.

Miami Beach, FL
Joined June 2008

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    1. Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw Mar 15
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      Zed A. Shaw, Painter Retweeted Mark Byrne

      That spike from Korea in the 20-29 age range is mostly from the one Christian group that got it first. If you’re going to tweet a graph research it first, especially if it looks unbelievable.https://twitter.com/markwby/status/1238867143363567616 …

      Zed A. Shaw, Painter added,

      Mark ByrneVerified account @markwby
      Here’s something that’s absolutely terrifying: a comparison of the age distributions of Covid-19 cases in Italy, where they are only testing people who show symptoms, and S. Korea, which has broad testing. A whole lot of 20-29yos out there who feel just fine but are v contagious. pic.twitter.com/BU96h3VKUc
      Show this thread
      1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes
    2. Mark Przepiora‏ @MarkPrzepiora Mar 15
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      Replying to @zedshaw

      Strictly-speaking true (the majority of known cases originated from Shincheonji) but I'm not sure how it refutes the original tweet. It's true that many infections in younger people are mild (e.g. patient 0 in Germany thought she had a cold and returned to work a day later)

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Sammy Larbi‏ @codeodor Mar 15
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      Replying to @MarkPrzepiora @zedshaw

      I came to ask what difference it makes as well.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Mark Przepiora‏ @MarkPrzepiora Mar 15
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      Replying to @codeodor @zedshaw

      Yes. Furthermore, in the US only people with very specific travel histories plus specific sets of symptoms are being tested (and only if they go to a doctor, which they might not be able to afford), which likely excludes many infected young people from being tested.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw Mar 15
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      Replying to @MarkPrzepiora @codeodor

      Furthermore, all of those cases from the that Christian group existed and were known before testing, so that invalidates any causality or secret existence only found with testing. Basically, there's no secret simmering group of dead millenials hiding in untested countries.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Mark Przepiora‏ @MarkPrzepiora Mar 15
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      Replying to @zedshaw @codeodor

      Literally no one is saying this. For the final time, the point is that many young people already have it but it is so mild for them that they will not get tested (happening in the USA) even if they want to, and pass it on to vulnerable people.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw Mar 15
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      Replying to @MarkPrzepiora @codeodor

      Everyone _is_ saying this. Korea is not testing "everyone", not even close. No other country--even those with *more* testing--found this spike. I'll be you $100 to charity you can't find this spike in China and Bahrain. If you can't, then no, young people are not infected more.

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Sammy Larbi‏ @codeodor Mar 15
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      Replying to @zedshaw @MarkPrzepiora

      “More” as in more than any other group, or more than Italy is reporting to a large extent?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Sammy Larbi‏ @codeodor Mar 15
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      Replying to @codeodor @zedshaw @MarkPrzepiora

      This data is a bit old, so I am not sure how it changed in the last month, but it is ~1/2 of the peak in China, and shows that Italy's young infection rate is not in line with China's (though is not so far out of whack, like Korea's was) (from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1095024/china-age-distribution-of-wuhan-coronavirus-covid-19-patients/ …)pic.twitter.com/uSb2LGy8P7

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw Mar 15
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      Replying to @codeodor @MarkPrzepiora

      No spike at 20-29, what you have here is a normal curve and it matches all the others. The Korea chart is bi-modal from an assignable cause, if you remove that cause it looks like all the others. Also, kids <19 seem to not get it or don't get sick, which we already know.

      8:32 PM - 15 Mar 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Mark Przepiora‏ @MarkPrzepiora Mar 15
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          Replying to @zedshaw @codeodor

          A 2 year old in my city literally got it at daycare two days ago.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw Mar 15
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          Replying to @MarkPrzepiora @codeodor

          Anecdotes are not evidence or data. Get me graphs, get me official data, show me this spike in China or Bahrain or pay $100 to charity or admit you're wrong.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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