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Welp, looks like the Coronavirus has completely killed my trip to Asia. All plans were canceled, flights going to be canceled, all I'll have left is 6 days in Amsterdam, and even that might get canceled. I'm fine with it but too many people involved are in panic mode.
Which brings me to a criticism of how this is being handled. The virus is only deadly in people who are imunocompromised and/or over 80. Even people over 60 have super low chances of dying, but we read things like this: https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-cures/482794-officials-say-the-cdc-is-preparing-for … andhttps://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/28/coronavirus-odds-of-a-pandemic-doubled-to-40percent-moodys-analytics-says.html …
Estimates by one epidemiologist are that 40-70% of the people in the *world* will get it, but I call complete bullshit. They had the same kind of thing about SARS and it wasn't even close. Meanwhile, Ebola really was an insanely deadly disease and these same people were silent.
Now, all anyone knows is 70% of the world is going to die (no) and they're all fucking crazy. Do you know how stupid people are? https://theknow.denverpost.com/2020/02/28/corona-beer-coronavirus/234590/ … They are actually avoiding Corona BEER because of it. They even search for "corona beer virus":https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%203-m&geo=US&q=corona%20beer%20virus …
Do you understand the stupidity here?! People actually search for "corona beer virus". I can't even fathom how fucking stupid that person is. Like, I want to meet them face to face and go "How in the fuck did you think the beer was connected to a virus?"
Given that level of stupidity, I think any supposed "expert" tossing out estimates instead of reporting actual current numbers needs to be fucking fired. It doesn't help anyone and is only done to make that researcher some cash. I also think there's an age component:
I'm going to bet if you did a meta-analysis of the estimates researchers put out of world infection over 2 years you'll find a positive correlation between age and estimate. I'm going to bet you their estimate is 1/2 their age. Someone who's 80 thinks 40% of the world, etc.
So, because the entire world is freaking out I'm going to be canceling my trip rather than risk getting stuck in Asia. Thanks every asshole who searched for "corona beer virus".pic.twitter.com/1YUSMZw8nC
it's not about how many will die, but how many will need hospitalization which is a lot of people, around 20% infected. There isn't enough staff and beds for that.
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