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zedshaw's profile
Zed A. Shaw, Painter
Zed A. Shaw, Painter
Zed A. Shaw, Painter
@zedshaw

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Zed A. Shaw, Painter

@zedshaw

Personal artistic explorations in pigment. Follow @lzsthw is for http://learncodethehardway.com  programming books and code stuff.

Miami Beach, FL
Joined June 2008

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    1. Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw 14 Feb 2019
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      Hey Statistics experts, I cannot think of the name for it but what would be the inverse of "survivor bias"? As in, it's not "you think the poison isn't deadly because you only see survivors" but "you think the fertilizer works because you don't see the dead plants".

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      Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw 14 Feb 2019
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      Or actually, more like "you think the fertilizer works because you only see the tall plants". As in, all the plants are surviving, but you only see the tallest plants and assume the fertilizer is working, rather than seeing all the normal height plants to see it's not working.

      10:43 AM - 14 Feb 2019
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        2. Ross Campbell III‏ @rosscampbell 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @zedshaw

          How about: The Simpleton's Fallacy or Argument from Ignorance? http://utminers.utep.edu/omwilliamson/ENGL1311/fallacies.htm …

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        3. Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @rosscampbell

          No, not quite. That says you assume something is false because you lack the knowledge to know it's false. It's similar but this is more like you assume something is working because you only see where it's working? I guess it's a specific class of that kind of fallacy.

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        2. Paul Burt  🍕‏ @ThatMightBePaul 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @zedshaw

          Sounds like a form of Confirmation Bias. You expect the fertilizer to help plants grow, so you over-value plants that have grown tall in observations.

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        3. Paul Burt  🍕‏ @ThatMightBePaul 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @ThatMightBePaul @zedshaw

          Could also be a form of Simpson's Paradox, where the way you aggregate samples can cause important differences to disappear.

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        2. Chris Russell‏ @_chris_russell 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @zedshaw

          Observation bias?

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        3. Zed A. Shaw, Painter‏ @zedshaw 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @_chris_russell

          Well, isn't survivor bias a kind of observation bias? But I think observation bias is someone willfully ignoring the whole observable set, whereas survivor bias is that you actually can't see the whole set. But observation bias might fit better.

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        1. Atte‏ @guaq 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @zedshaw

          Poor sampling?

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        2. bewilderedbuckeye‏ @bewilderedOH 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @zedshaw

          Type I Error, I believe. "More simply stated, a type I error is to falsely infer the existence of something that is not there (conforming to common belief with false information)" https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors …

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        3. bewilderedbuckeye‏ @bewilderedOH 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @bewilderedOH @zedshaw

          In the case of the grass, it would be biased sampling with no effort made towards establishing meaningful averages (mean, median, and mode). A bell curve of grass height could be created, along with the standard deviation (the tall grass being largely on the outer right edge).

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        1. Elisa‏ @E1i5a 14 Feb 2019
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          Replying to @zedshaw

          Victim Bias.

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