Wait, I'm a little confused by this: https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/jan/03/police-reinforcements-for-northern-ireland-in-case-of-no-deal-brexit-1000-officers-training-trouble-hard-border … Is this saying that, should the UK hard Brexit, that they'd.....close off Northern Ireland from the rest of Ireland? That seems like a *very* bad idea.
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Oh man, I hadn't even considered North Ireland's role in the Brexit debacle: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-44615404 … That's a full rundown of the issue, and it could mean a breaking of the Good Friday peace agreement https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good_Friday_Agreement …
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The interesting part of the Good Friday agreement is that N.Ireland remains part of the UK *until* a majority of the people of N.Ireland vote to not be. Yanking N.Ireland out of the EU could easily be the catalyst of a referendum that removes them from the UK.
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The implication of N.Ireland voting to leave the UK and join the Republic of Ireland (or, just be their own country) could then domino to Scotland and other parts. I know Scotland has already been pro-EU and threatened to leave, so having N.Ireland do it could help.
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And, the Good Friday agreement established an interesting 2 point agreement: Most people in N.Ireland want to be in the UK. But, a significant amount want to join Ireland. Thus, why it's left up to the people through democracy as to where they belong.
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So, given that this basically just happened to the UK with Brexit ("We vote to leave the EU!") it'd be *crazy* hard for the UK to argue that the people of N.Ireland couldn't also vote to leave the UK. Shall we call N.Ireland leaving the UK..NIxit? Ohhhh, that's a good pun.
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Replying to @zedshaw
It’s a good pun for a terrifying scenario though. The Troubles starting again gives me nonstop nightmares.
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Replying to @jamie_culpon
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh but you are missing something: I *think* that Germany is down to send in troops and enforce a NIxit. I don't think the UK is willing to challenge the EU's military might should N.Ireland decide to leave and join them as per their right under Good Friday.
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AND, I suspect that Germany is getting ready for that given what Merkel has been negotiating and saying. Republic of Ireland is part of the EU, and the agreement allows mutual protection. N.Ireland voting to join, as allowed in GF, means Ireland can get EU help in NI.
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Replying to @zedshaw
If it happens without tanks and troops, maybe. But the UK does not have a good track record on that in Ireland for obvious geopolitical reasons.
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