A few thoughts: 1) I might argue that discovery either is or will be harder today than it was on the past. On a percentage basis of brands discovered divided by brands that exist, discovery is only getting harder because of increased competition since it's so easy to start
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Replying to @rsiegel
Agree - but I don’t think we’re concerned with the relative difficulty. We’re concerned with the absolute number of successful brands. Or, more specifically, that the average fitness of a product (as measured by meeting consumers’ economic needs) is increasing faster than before.
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Replying to @zackkanter
I go back to the third point I made. I think there's too much focus on starting and not enough on staying. It's still early but many will not go far and it usually has to do with securing the audience the brand needs to meet its expectations over time.
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Replying to @rsiegel
I agree - brands may not have staying power. But that’s creative destruction working at scale. Consumers’ needs and preferences are being met at a more perfect rate, and that’s good - even if brands don’t last.
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Replying to @zackkanter
So on that note, do you think competition should always be maxed out? If gatekeepers evolve as we discussed, and creative destruction accelerates, is it ever too much that is becomes unsustainable in your opinion?
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Replying to @rsiegel
In theory, no. I guess that’s because I have a hard time conceptualizing how it could become unsustainable. More specifically: unsustainable for who/what?
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Replying to @zackkanter
For example, if Amazon continues or accelerates growth, suppliers keep getting commoditized, at a certain point, it becomes such bloodthirsty competition that one can't build a real business even if she is trying to serve consumers, likely because of price competition.
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Replying to @rsiegel @zackkanter
Put differently, on the current path, there seems to be a case where what looks good for customers now and bad for businesses becomes bad for everyone.
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Replying to @rsiegel
I think that if there is economic value in continuity of brand (for example, better products through iterative design from a cohesive team), then there will inherently be a limit on brand turnover. And if there isn’t a value, then I guess high turnover doesn’t matter.
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Replying to @zackkanter
What if price pressure erodes most people's understand or ability to build a brand?
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You’re getting out of my area of competence :) I don’t think that will happen, but if it does - commodity markets seem to function just fine.
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