I wish more people understood this. Good/bad outcomes are not the same as good/bad decisions. Example of bad decision/good outcome: playing roulette and winning money. Example of good decision/bad outcome: deciding not to play roulette, leaving the casino, and getting mugged. https://twitter.com/hunterwalk/status/948015715025428480 …
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Replying to @lpolovets
@hunterwalk “Performance...under one scenario that unfolds says nothing about how it would have fared under the many ‘alternative histories’ that were possible.”pic.twitter.com/56tgXRFJ7a
7:40 PM - 1 Jan 2018
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