I don’t think it has sunk in for many people that SpaceX is the freight company for space.
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Replying to @zackkanter
Few people realize that the cost of sending a small package to low Earth orbit via this freight company is $15,000 a kilogram. Most people know that a person named Bezos will enter the market soon with a competitive offering.pic.twitter.com/vMof8mooqO
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Replying to @trengriffin
I’m aware of Bezos (maybe more than most people even). Blue Origin might even win. And I’ll call Blue Origin a freight company when it is shipping freight. Until then, it’s an impressive/promising R&D lab.1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes -
Replying to @zackkanter
Since I was the 4th employee of Teledesic I've been pricing launches to LEO since the early 1990s when the cheap option was a converted Russian ICBM called Dnepr https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnepr_(rocket) …. I've been modeling the business case for broadband satellite constellations since then too.
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Replying to @trengriffin @zackkanter
I also know what ground terminals that can track moving satellites while operating at millimeter wave frequencies cost since I am on the board of a company called Kymeta which makes them (the company uses a holographic beam forming technology, sometimes known as metamaterials).
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Replying to @trengriffin
You seem highly qualified. I'm not sure what point you're trying to make, though. It seems we agree that SpaceX moves freight.
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Replying to @zackkanter
My point is that it's still costly freight. You need to have a really good reason to spend $15,000 a kilogram to LEO. That's why the launch market isn't growing/may be shrinking. That's a problem that needs to be solved. Starlink, Kuiper, OneWeb etc are intended to change that.
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I didn't say it was cheap. I just said it's a freight company, which a lot of non-logistics people don't realize.
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Replying to @zackkanter
Agree. I was adding something else that most people don't realize. Launch TAM isn't growing. SpaceX has so much market share the number of Falcons that will go up this year may be less than last year. The goal now is more payloads justifying that still high cost to orbit/beyond.
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