Business cycles are astrology for people with MBAs. Today might be a good time to be in cash, but do so based on a forward-looking analysis, and appreciate that you and Apple *might* not have the same constraints.https://twitter.com/zackkanter/status/1137769200993181698 …
It’s irrational to try to time the market. Almost as irrational as not holding cash as a hedge 10 years into the second longest bull market in history.
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Why would you believe there’s some magic expiration date on prosperity, particularly if you believe these things can’t be timed (predicted)? The former idea seems like voodoo, and the latter seems to contradict the former.
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Can’t you do both? A regular 60/40ish diversified main portfolio and 5 years of living expenses in cash?
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