We are really bad at predicting the future
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@m_strehl pretty sure that if we were able to land things on the moon in the 60s, a moon base would be possible in 20 years. We chose not to
@m_strehl could've had a moon city 20 years after that. Send people to Mars. Instead progress stopped and focused on making better screens
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@m_strehl of course it's an oversimplification, but what I'm trying to say is: predictions weren't unrealistic, society just changed course. -
@yoshuawuyts this inherent quality of our predictions was the death of many a large company (cf Kodak). Unrealistic predictions are nonsense
End of conversation
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@yoshuawuyts which only tells us, that early 20th c people were bad at predicting early 21st c peoples’ assumed needs.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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