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yishan's profile
Yishan
Yishan
Yishan
@yishan

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Yishan

@yishan

Founder and CEO of Terraformation (@TF_Global) Ex-Reddit, FB, PayPal, CMU, Burger King. Views are mine alone, but also yours if I do my job right. #ETH #DeFi ♢

Made on Earth by Humans
Terraformation.com
Joined April 2008

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    Yishan‏ @yishan 2 Feb 2020

    Yishan Retweeted Scott Gottlieb, MD

    There is potential for a mere difference in coronavirus detection ability to cause something as large as an immediate geopolitical shift from US dominance to China.https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/1224043498816655364 …

    Yishan added,

    Scott Gottlieb, MDVerified account @ScottGottliebMD
    Since CDC and FDA haven’t authorized public health or hospital labs to run the tests, right now #CDC is the only place that can. So, screening has to be rationed. Our ability to detect secondary spread among people not directly tied to China travel is greatly limited.
    Show this thread
    8:08 PM - 2 Feb 2020
    • 34 Retweets
    • 133 Likes
    • billy bob matt mattila 𓋹 Mudit Bansal Sushant Taing Laeeth Aranjedeath _cr0_tab (grackle fan account) No Justice, No Peace
    7 replies 34 retweets 133 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Yishan‏ @yishan 2 Feb 2020

        China has had a head start and has detection/quarantine protocol in place. Given the speed of infection, if the US fails to immediately decentralize and spread our ability to detect, the virus could spread faster here and end up crippling the US economy just enough that (cont.)

        3 replies 1 retweet 16 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Yishan‏ @yishan 2 Feb 2020

        ...that once the virus runs its course, China ends up ahead. We know the US is brittle right now and its leadership and culture in disarray, its medical system disorganized and lacking. This MIGHT be an unexpected tipping point.

        1 reply 0 retweets 20 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Yishan‏ @yishan 2 Feb 2020

        To be clear: the US would survive entirely intact. But if the virus spreads too much here, it would hamstring the economy just long enough that China could end seizing the lead because it recovers faster.

        1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Yishan‏ @yishan 2 Feb 2020

        The death rate would be low; minimal human toll. Few people die. But imagine if the US fails to stem the infection quickly enough, and major population (i.e. economically contributing) centers end up having to be quarantined for an entire year while China recovers in 6 months.

        1 reply 2 retweets 16 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Yishan‏ @yishan 2 Feb 2020

        6 months while Chinese companies (operating at Chinese-capitalism speed) take over contracts and supply chains across the world, while almost no one from the US can travel abroad or leave their homes.

        3 replies 3 retweets 19 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Yishan‏ @yishan 2 Feb 2020

        Then once the US realizes it’s fallen behind, instead of engaging in “get up and dust itself off and get back to work,” the country’s polarized electorate resorts to infighting and xenophobia, further delaying its own recovery (c.f. post-9/11 rebuilding of WTC).

        1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Yishan‏ @yishan 2 Feb 2020

        Once again: few people die, no one invades anyone. But a once-mighty empire falls into decline because it lacks the resilience and vigor needed to address nominal collective threats - one blow reveals it to be the brittle, hollowed out shell it has become.

        4 replies 3 retweets 29 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Yishan‏ @yishan 31 Mar 2020

        Yishan Retweeted Jacob Helberg

        The way this will happen is in a thousand tiny steps, as many individual actors make rational decisions to do business with China while America is too hamstrung to compete.https://twitter.com/jacobhelberg/status/1245101510272245760?s=21 …

        Yishan added,

        Jacob Helberg @jacobhelberg
        Most of Zoom’s engineering team is based in China. Conducting sensitive conversations on a platform vulnerable to data collection by the CCP should give pause to those concerned with protecting company or government secrets. https://twitter.com/random_walker/status/1244987617676050434 …
        Show this thread
        1 reply 1 retweet 21 likes
        Show this thread
      10. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Thread archive‏ @threadarchive 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @yishan

        @threader_app compile

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Threader‏Verified account @threader 12 Mar 2020
        Replying to @threadarchive

        Hey, thanks for sharing this thread from @yishan. Read the whole version here:https://threader.app/thread/1224182732009295872 …

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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