"I had a bunch of templates for how reasonable people talk and what kinds of things they say" girl what?????????
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optics and obeying epistemic authority, because that's what rationalism is all about!
notice that she doesn't say *why* she felt so constrained, funny how that workspic.twitter.com/DGUUfTWNga
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someone could have made basically this exact thread about me after the Trump election, FYI here is my embarrassing-in-retrospect blog post about it: https://www.sonyaellenmann.com/2016/11/trump-election-2016.html …
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if being willing to look crazy is the cost of telling the truth, at times, and you straight-up say that you aren't willing to pay that cost... why should we trust you, again? https://twitter.com/matthewstoller/status/1243663407984844807 …pic.twitter.com/yjl60M8QdZ
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coronavirus twitter is wild, people out here posting that a couple of months ago they were sincerely concerned that millions of people could die, that their home communities could suffer like Wuhan, but they didn't say anything because... they might get mocked?
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Replying to @sonyasupposedly
i pretty much went immediately from "this seems like a big deal, actually" to "if i bother warning my extended family/meatspace friends they'll think i'm nuts and won't listen so what's the point" -- even at the time i felt like i should be doing more, but
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Replying to @goblinodds @sonyasupposedly
the trick is to already have a reputation in your family for being a smart weirdo
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also to possibly have family composed of latent preppers with ADHD who love a good crisis
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Replying to @selentelechia @sonyasupposedly
i'm def the "smart weirdo" but i think they (reasonably) question my real-world competence
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Replying to @goblinodds @sonyasupposedly
oh hmmm I wonder if being "established" (nice place, functional, career and plans to have kids, fiance who is a very Nice Boy) has made me more credible
I may come from a family where you're kind of a kid until you're mid 20s and engaged/married, or until 30 if you're single2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
makes people more credible, also more risk adverse. "crazed, impoverished prophet" is an archetype for a reason.
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