one of my takeaways from the rolling onset of *broad public awareness* of the pandemic was that you can be late relative to your clued-in friends and still absolutely scorch the median response https://twitter.com/razibkhan/status/1243624237933289472 …
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ah. you were trying to determine, "will this happen?" wrong question. could this happen, *might* this happen, that's the right question
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It's not a terribly admirable thing to admit, but if I'd had more "skin in the game" (been in a high risk group) I might have taken it more seriously and been willing to pay a higher social cost to bug out early.
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