1) Predictions don't count. It's their payoff, what you do w/them (x is not f(x) ). Academics don't get it. "Speculators are not paid in true or false, but in $) 2) Indeed, I don't run the account. But I save the tweets as I am too lazy to have a notebook. Thanks, Cetin.https://twitter.com/TalebWisdom/status/1236080589897375749 …
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Yes, but most psychologists are confused by accuracy issues in perception, attention, memory and decision making. This betrays a fundamental misunderstanding what the system optimizes for and the environment it operates in
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