CHAPTER 1
Expected Goals: What to Expect When You’re Expecting Goals
What is the Expected Goals method?
How do you collect xG?
Why is xG an important concept to understand?
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CHAPTER 1
Expected Goals: What to Expect When You’re Expecting Goals
What is the Expected Goals method?
How do you collect xG?
Why is xG an important concept to understand?
https://rb.gy/01d9c8 pic.twitter.com/RWpiKmpM3e
CHAPTER 2
Football Philosophers: Traditionalists versus Revolutionaries
Why did Jeff Stelling reject Expected Goals?
What has stopped xG prevailing so far?
What can baseball’s “Moneyball” story teach football?
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CHAPTER 3
A History of Football Analytics: How the Beautiful Game Has Evolved
Which innovators paved the way for modern day analysis?
How have Opta changed the game?
What are the origins of the Expected Goals method?
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CHAPTER 4
Expected Value: Can Mathematics Help You Win the Lottery?
What are the statistical principles behind Expected Goals?
Could an understanding of xG help you win the lottery?
Can taking less shots help you score more goals?
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CHAPTER 5
Matchday xG: Why Do Winners Win?
How can we use Expected Goals to analyse team performance?
How can we create stimulating xG visualisations?
How can the media better adopt xG as a form of analysis?
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CHAPTER 6
Player xG: Who is the Best Player in the World?
How can we use xG to form accurate gauges of player performance?
What are Expected Assists?
Does xG favour Messi or Ronaldo?
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CHAPTER 7
Betting: Can the Expected Goals Method Make You Rich?
What does the inside of a professional gambling syndicate look like?
Does the league table lie?
How have bettors used xG to make millions?
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CHAPTER 8
Scouting: What’s the Secret Behind Signing a Hidden Gem?
What inefficiencies exist within the transfer market?
Can we use xG to measure the value of players?
How have Brentford FC used xG to turn over £100m+ on player sales?
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CHAPTER 9
The Future of xG: Where Does Football Analysis Go Next?
What’s wrong with Expected Goals?
How have bettors developed better xG models?
Can Artificial Intelligence (AI) help improve xG?
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The Expected Goals Philosophy is available to buy on Amazon...
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